Darrow Wealth Management

OCTOBER 1, 2022

Is retiring with a mortgage a good idea? Retiring with a mortgage doesn’t typically pose a financial risk, and at times it’s the best financial decision. But paying off a mortgage before retirement has upsides also. Here’s when it may – and may not – make sense to pay off a mortgage before retiring.

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Retirement Taxes Math Wealth Management 82

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

OCTOBER 26, 2024

First, is the math right based on my numbers? If we guess just 2 billion people, and that is just a guess, and divide that into the 15.2 million Bitcoin, I think that works out to just under 1/100th of a Bitcoin per person, which works out to less than $100 per person at the current price. How can it solve anyone's problem?

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

NOVEMBER 19, 2023

Yahoo Finance had kind of a long read recapping an update from Morningstar about safe retirement withdrawal rates. I would much rather withdraw 10% or more per year from my retirement accounts and do it without taking any principal. Part of the math that determines options premiums is the risk free rate of return from T-bills.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

DECEMBER 17, 2023

change at retirement. Hopefully a mortgage is paid off, hopefully there are no car payments to make and health insurance at 65, if retired, should go down quite a bit on Medicare, especially if income goes way down. Once someone is retired, saving for retirement is one less expense too.

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Integrity Financial Planning

JANUARY 23, 2023

For most, Social Security provides a solid foundation for retirement income. As you grow older and retirement looms on the horizon, the decisions you make start to have a more crucial impact on the amount of money you receive, so it’s important that you know what to expect.

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Carson Wealth

FEBRUARY 22, 2023

Matt Kory, Vice President, Retirement Programs As a retirement income vehicle, the 401(k) is second in popularity only to Social Security – and as CNBC reported in 2019 the number of 401(k) millionaires is at an all-time high. But is a million dollars even enough for your retirement needs? Just think of the numbers.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JUNE 10, 2024

We've talked just a couple of times about the market becoming increasingly concentrated which just in terms of math means that a diversified strategy will lag for as long as the big names do well. I looked at the Vanguard Target Retirement 2025 (VTTVX) and the Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 (VTHRX).

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Yardley Wealth Management

JULY 20, 2022

Their retirement plan is strong, their kids are independent, and they are debt-free. They’re approaching retirement age, but it’s hard for them to imagine what exactly retirement will look like. We’d think about their life expectancy (never fun, but a necessary part of retirement planning).

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JUNE 30, 2024

The latest retirement disaster article from Yahoo focuses on 55 year olds who have a "median savings of less than $50,000." Yahoo says it's "bleak" because this cohort is "only about a decade from retiring." A harsh reality is that $50,000 is not a retirement fund but it is a pretty robust emergency fund.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JUNE 3, 2024

I haven't seen too many scenarios where Roth conversions were optimal as most people don't earn more after they retire. Do the math on your particulars like what your various sources of earned income will likely be, how much your RMDs will likely be and so on. How much are you likely to end up with in your retirement accounts?

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Numbers Taxes Retirement Accounting 98

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

DECEMBER 15, 2024

Bloomberg had an article titled As Gen-X Nears Retirement, Many Fear They Can't Afford It-Now or Ever. Generally they all plan to work to 70 or beyond out of necessity. You're gonna want to retire some day and your 401k is how do it. The article profiled a half dozen Gen-Xers ranging from 45-60. Probably not. Probably so.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

NOVEMBER 6, 2023

It's been a while since this sort of thing was relevant for my day job so something could have changed, weeklies didn't exist for example, but if my math is correct then it was way over exposed which would account for last week's decline in the fund price. Please leave a comment if I did the work incorrectly.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

MAY 18, 2023

Bloomberg did a survey and found that Generation-X does not feel like it will be "financially prepared for retirement." Anyone closer to the younger edge of Gen-X could probably benefit by cutting expenses now, the impact of that could compound over the next 20+ years as they approach a normal retirement age.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JUNE 11, 2024

I would say that is a very big bet but the math in their backtest supports it. Finomial drew a similar conclusion about fixed income awhile back and posted this paper where they subbed in 40% into managed futures.

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Math Portfolio Management Taxes 98

Clever Girl Finance

FEBRUARY 21, 2024

The term personal finance ratios might give you flashbacks to math class, learning various formulas, equations, and ratios. You can use ratios to keep track of many different aspects of your financial situation—from cash flow to savings to tips for retirement planning and more. million to retire confidently.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JULY 9, 2023

Generally speaking, pensions are less viable than they used to be, the math doesn't work as well. About 40 years ago employers started to pivot away from pensions to 401k, they started to pivot away from defined benefit plans to defined contribution plans. So that's quite a bit to chew on even if it isn't a new idea.

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Yardley Wealth Management

OCTOBER 26, 2020

Social Security Retirement Planning . You really do get the extra 8% per year after you’ve reached your full retirement age. For most people, Social Security benefits make up a sizable percentage of their retirement income. Please contact us if you’d like to discuss your financial plan.

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Trade Brains

DECEMBER 7, 2023

Also, you will learn how to plan your taxes, credit score importance and how to budget your income to create a portfolio. By enrolling in this course you will learn to manage your finances more effectively by mastering budgeting and portfolio creating for a healthy retirement corpus. You can enroll in the course here.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

FEBRUARY 29, 2024

The simple 40 year trade for bonds of "number go up" is finished and as a matter of math, can't be repeated. The diversification benefits of intermediate and longer term bonds is not what it used to be. Taking volatility out of a fixed income portfolio is fairly simple.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JUNE 22, 2023

And then just a little math, the "guarantee" based on the 50/50 allocation would be 2.5% If you're trying to do something as simple as 50% in T-bills now yielding 5% and one equity proxy, don't make that one equity proxy a narrow bet like tech stocks. SSO is 2X S&P 500 and SPHB is the Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

APRIL 22, 2024

The article devoted a good amount of space to bond market math, focusing on the pain of owning the iShares 20+ Year Treasury ETF (TLT) and bond funds in general. I've been like a broken record for years on the need to avoid bonds that have any sort of duration or at least be extremely underweight duration versus the typical benchmarks.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

APRIL 12, 2023

My experience is that the typical retired person/couple expects growth in exchange for some volatility from the equity portion of their portfolio, they don't want it from their fixed income sleeve. The presence of lower yields, that yes kept going lower, turned bonds, as opposed to bills and some notes, into equity beta.

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Midstream Marketing

SEPTEMBER 24, 2019

As a financial advisor or other investment professional, you’re no doubt already well aware that the “math” side of the conversation is a large part of what your clients need help with every day. Retirement Planning. Retirement planning is a very precise process, and one that is unique to the individual.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

DECEMBER 1, 2023

A quick excerpt from a post a couple of weeks ago about retirement misconceptions. I would much rather withdraw 10% or more per year from my retirement accounts and do it without taking any principal. Part of the math that determines options premiums is the risk free rate of return from T-bills.

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Good Financial Cents

JULY 3, 2023

Calculation Breakdown Let’s break down the math to find out how much you could earn annually with a $30 hourly wage: Consider an average workweek of 40 hours and an average year consisting of 52 weeks. Let’s do math again! Retirement/Savings $832.00 . $30 an Hour Is How Much a Year? Utilities $300.00 Groceries $300.00

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JULY 8, 2023

That is difficult to pull off but if you do the math on that it shows long term outperformance. He makes a good point about not relying solely on math to assess markets and portfolio construction, that the psychology of markets is important too. 75/50 seeks to capture 75% of the upside with only 50% of the downside.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

DECEMBER 10, 2023

There was a lot of content from various places over the weekend about whether it is time to go back into bonds, what retired investors should do for yield and even whether retirees are better off going 100% into equities. As a matter of math, it cannot repeat the run from 8.5% Barron's also noted that 60/40 was up 9.6% in November.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JULY 17, 2022

There's other math about outperformance but also the observation that momentum is prone to crashes. They said they were impressed by the backtest and the thought process underlying the strategy and shared this link to a short paper by Larry Swedroe posted on the Alpha Architect website.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

FEBRUARY 24, 2024

In the case of real estate a 2.29% weighting and for "private equity" companies it's about 17 basis points (looked at XLF holdings and then did a little math), that's just not going to move the needle. You may agree with Jack about not needing those things, that's valid, my point is that owning an index fund isn't a proxy for them.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

FEBRUARY 4, 2024

Today's post will look at a couple of different retirement articles that I stumbled into this weekend. The Economist posted an opinion piece titled Why You Should Never Retire that I found via a Thread from Unusual Whales. I don't think that everyone loses purpose by retiring or otherwise moving on to a new chapter.

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Clever Girl Finance

DECEMBER 16, 2023

Once you know your weekly or monthly income, you can do the simple math of calculating how much 70% would be. We all need an emergency fund, and to save more long-term (think: retirement). Don’t put it into a retirement account where you won’t be able to get the money out for years.) Consider some of these ways to save.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

SEPTEMBER 6, 2024

Barron's dusted off the retirement bucket playbook in an article while also arguing that a 5% withdrawal rate in retirement can now be considered safe versus the more common 4%. The way the math works out, 4% has a success rate in the low 90's based on simulations and has never failed looking backward. Always read the comments.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

OCTOBER 9, 2022

If you do the math, that yields a better long term result in nominal terms and also in risk adjusted terms. He popped up ten or so years later writing occasionally at the old Index Universe website which later became ETF.com. 75/50 targets 75% of the upside and 50% of the downside.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

SEPTEMBER 29, 2024

The math is only off by a shade using leverage via UST and a little bit of SSO, remember RPAR is leveraged. I find this to be interesting but anyone needing normal stock market growth in order for their retirement plan to work, probably isn't going to get it from any of these portfolios.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

FEBRUARY 6, 2024

It is important to understand the math though. Then a small slice into one or two holding you believe to be reliably negatively correlated to equities. I think managed futures are pretty good at this as just one example. If you put 80% into an S&P 500 fund and 20% into an inverse fund, then your net long exposure is 60%.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

OCTOBER 29, 2023

Yeah, that sounds pretty good (giving them the benefit of the doubt about the math)… pretty good for an equity. “The 30-year Treasuries would gain nearly 13% over 12 months with a 0.5-point point drop in yields, based on current levels, but the bonds would lose less than 3%, including interest, if rates rose by a half-point.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JULY 27, 2022

In terms of complexity, several of the funds blend together multiple complex strategies and the blend itself is complex in terms of the math applied and the outcomes sought, they are complex-complexity. I do not know if his life circumstance is such where a game over approach is appropriate.

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