Calculated Risk

JANUARY 13, 2023

From housing economist Tom Lawler: Based on publicly-available local realtor/MLS reports released across the country through today, I project that existing home sales as estimated by the National Association of Realtors ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.96 Sales on an unadjusted basis should show a slightly larger YOY decline.

Sales 294

Sales Numbers 294

Calculated Risk

FEBRUARY 18, 2023

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: • 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in January Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in January • January Housing Starts: Near Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction • Current State of the Housing Market: Overview for mid-February • Update: Some "Good News" for Homebuilders • 2nd (..)

Numbers 255

Numbers Sales Marketing Marketing 255

Calculated Risk

MAY 16, 2024

Here is their weekly report: Weekly Housing Trends View—Data for Week Ending May 11, 2024 • Active inventory increased, with for-sale homes 35.0% For the 27th straight week, there were more homes listed for sale versus the prior year, giving homebuyers more options. above year-ago levels. from one year ago. from one year ago.

Sales 287

Sales Numbers Marketing Marketing 287

Calculated Risk

MARCH 15, 2025

The key reports this week are February Retail sales, Housing Starts and Existing Home Sales. increase in retail sales. This graph shows retail sales since 1992. This is monthly retail sales and food service, seasonally adjusted (total and ex-gasoline). The FOMC meets this week, and no change to policy is expected.

Retail 191

Retail Manufacturing Sales Food 191

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 21, 2023

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: • NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.02 from Peak in June 2022 • December Housing Starts: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction • 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in December California Home Sales down 44% YoY in December; Prices Down 2.8%

Numbers 270

Numbers Sales Marketing Marketing 270

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 26, 2023

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: New Home Sales at 616,000 Annual Rate in December; Previous 3 Months Revised Down Sharply Brief excerpt: The next graph shows the months of supply by stage of construction. Months of supply” is inventory at each stage, divided by the sales rate. There are 1.4

Sales 267

Sales Numbers 267

Calculated Risk

APRIL 25, 2023

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: New Home Sales Increase to 683,000 Annual Rate in March Brief excerpt: The next graph shows new home sales for 2022 and 2023 by month (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate). Sales in March 2023 were down 3.4% from March 2022. You can subscribe at [link].

Sales 243

Sales Numbers 243

Calculated Risk

FEBRUARY 10, 2025

It took a number of years following the housing bust for new home inventory to return to the pre-bubble percent of total inventory. of the total for sale inventory, down from a peak of 27.2% Then, with the pandemic, existing home inventory collapsed and now the percent of new homes is 25.1% in December 2022.

Marketing 214

Marketing Marketing Numbers Sales 214

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 26, 2024

The ICE HPI is a repeat sales index. ICE reports the median price change of the repeat sales. From Intercontinental Exchange (ICE): • Home price growth edged slightly higher in October to +3.0% (from +2.9%

Numbers 147

Numbers Sales 147

Calculated Risk

JUNE 22, 2023

Here is their weekly report from economist Danielle Hale: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending June 17, 2023 • Active inventory growth slowed again, with for-sale homes up just 5% above one year ago. New listings–a measure of sellers putting homes up for sale–were down again this week, by 26% from one year ago. . •

Numbers 342

Numbers Sales Planning Marketing 342

Calculated Risk

MARCH 30, 2023

Here is their weekly report released today from chief economist Danielle Hale: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Mar 25, 2023 • Active inventory growth continued to climb with for-sale homes up 57% above one year ago. New listings–a measure of sellers putting homes up for sale–were again down, this week by 20% from one year ago.

Numbers 334

Numbers Sales Marketing Marketing 334

Calculated Risk

MARCH 21, 2025

Here is a table from ICE.

Numbers 127

Numbers Sales Accounting 127

Calculated Risk

APRIL 20, 2023

Here is their weekly report released today from chief economist Danielle Hale: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Apr 15, 2023 • Active inventory growth continued to climb, with for-sale homes up 49% above one year ago.

Numbers 362

Numbers Sales Marketing Marketing 362

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 23, 2025

Here is their weekly report: Weekly Housing Trends ViewData for Week Ending January 18, 2025 Active inventory increased, with for-sale homes 25.1% For the 63rd consecutive week, the number of homes for sale has increased compared to the same time last year. above year-ago levels.

Numbers 147

Numbers Sales Marketing Marketing 147

Calculated Risk

APRIL 6, 2023

Here is their weekly report released today from Sabrina Speianu: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Apr 1, 2023 • Active inventory growth continued to climb, but at a lower rate, with for-sale homes up 53% above one year ago. The number of newly listed homes has been lower than the same time the previous year for the past 39 weeks.

Sales 363

Sales Numbers Marketing Marketing 363

Calculated Risk

MAY 23, 2023

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: New Home Sales at 683,000 Annual Rate in April Brief excerpt: The next graph shows new home sales for 2022 and 2023 by month (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate). Sales in April 2023 were up 11.8% As expected, new home sales were up year-over-year. from April 2022.

Sales 240

Sales Numbers 240

Calculated Risk

APRIL 27, 2023

Here is their weekly report released today from chief economist Danielle Hale: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Apr 22, 2023 • Active inventory was up at a slower pace, with for-sale homes up just 39% above one year ago. As a result, a greater share of current for-sale inventory is new construction. •

Sales 347

Sales Numbers Marketing Marketing 347

Calculated Risk

JUNE 29, 2023

Here is their weekly report from economist Danielle Hale: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending June 24, 2023 • Active inventory growth stalled completely, with for-sale homes lagging behind year ago levels for the first time in 59 weeks. The time it took to sell a home lengthened and the number of homes for sale piled up.

Numbers 336

Numbers Sales Planning Marketing 336

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 13, 2022

Highlighting the roller coaster ride that the housing market and its participants have been on in the last few years, one’s take on the current number of homes for sale depends very much on the comparison point. New listings–a measure of sellers putting homes up for sale–were again down, dropping 15% from one year ago.

Sales 363

Sales Numbers Planning Marketing 363

Calculated Risk

SEPTEMBER 23, 2022

The number of homes for sale has grown as buyers and sellers navigate a rebalancing housing market with shifting advantages and challenges. • New listings–a measure of sellers putting homes up for sale–were again down, dropping 10% from one year ago. . • Active inventory continued to grow, and improved 28% above one year ago.

Sales 353

Sales Numbers Marketing Marketing 353

Calculated Risk

JUNE 27, 2023

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: New Home Sales increase to 763,000 Annual Rate in May Brief excerpt: The next graph shows new home sales for 2022 and 2023 by month (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate). Sales in May 2023 were up 20.0% Year-to-date sales are down 4.7% from May 2022.

Sales 246

Sales Consulting Numbers 246

Calculated Risk

JUNE 8, 2023

Here is their weekly report from economist Jiayi Xu: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending June 3rd, 2023 • ctive inventory growth slowed again, with for-sale homes up just 13% above one year ago. The number of homes for sale continues to grow, but compared to one year ago, the pace is slowing.

Sales 348

Sales Numbers Planning Marketing 348

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 19, 2022

The rate of improvement actually slipped again this week as the number of new listings continues to come in lower. • N ew listings–a measure of sellers putting homes up for sale–were again down 15% from one year ago.

Sales 363

Sales Numbers Marketing Marketing 363

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 7, 2022

Highlighting the roller coaster ride that the housing market and its participants have been on in the last few years, one’s take on the current number of homes for sale depends very much on the comparison point. New listings–a measure of sellers putting homes up for sale–were again down, dropping 17% from one year ago.

Sales 360

Sales Numbers Planning Marketing 360

Calculated Risk

JUNE 23, 2023

of serious delinquencies in May, up only marginally from April and still more than a full percentage point below the March 2020 rate at the start of the pandemic • The number of loans in active foreclosure improved by 4K during the month and is now down 41K (-15%) from March 2020, with foreclosure sales (completions) rising 5.5%

Numbers 363

Numbers Sales 363

Calculated Risk

MARCH 9, 2023

Here is their weekly report released today from Chief economist Danielle Hale: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Mar 4, 2023 • Active inventory growth continued to climb with for-sale homes up 61% above one year ago. Inventories of for-sale homes rose again, but the gain was the lowest we’ve seen since December.

Sales 340

Sales Numbers Marketing Marketing 340

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 27, 2023

Active inventory growth continued to climb with for-sale homes up 69% above one year ago. Even after surging more than 50% in December 2022, the number of homes on the market trailed pre-pandemic counts by nearly 40%. • New listings–a measure of sellers putting homes up for sale–were again down, this week by 5% from one year ago.

Numbers 363

Numbers Sales Marketing Marketing 363

Calculated Risk

MARCH 16, 2023

Here is their weekly report released today from Chief economist Danielle Hale: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Mar 11, 2023 • Active inventory growth continued to climb with for-sale homes up 61% above one year ago. Inventories of for-sale homes rose, tying last week’s gain, which was the lowest we’ve seen since December.

Sales 358

Sales Numbers Marketing Marketing 358

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 22, 2023

Today, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter: Lawler on Existing Home Sales, Population Projections and Household Slowdown Excerpt: Census’ new long-term US population projections released last Friday were massively lower than the previous long-term projection released in 2017.

Sales 253

Sales Numbers 253

Calculated Risk

MARCH 2, 2023

Here is their weekly report released today from Chief economist Danielle Hale: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Feb 25, 2023 • Active inventory growth continued to climb with for-sale homes up 67% above one year ago. New listings–a measure of sellers putting homes up for sale–were again down, this week by 16% from one year ago.

Sales 363

Sales Numbers Marketing Marketing 363

Calculated Risk

SEPTEMBER 16, 2024

30 year fixed 6.12% ] emphasis added Tuesday: • At 8:30 AM ET, Retail sales for August will be released. increase in retail sales. • Any number below 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as poor than good. The consensus is for a 0.2% The consensus is for a 0.1% The consensus is for a 0.1%

Retail 182

Retail Sales Numbers Economics 182

Nerd's Eye View

NOVEMBER 4, 2024

This month's edition kicks off with the news that Holistiplan has announced the rollout of a new estate plan document extraction tool to stand alongside its highly popular tax return scanning tool – which highlights how advances in AI technology have allowed tools like Holistiplan to go beyond tax returns and scan nearly any kind of document (..)

Estate Planning 243

Estate Planning Planning Communication Taxes 243

Calculated Risk

MARCH 24, 2023

Here is their weekly report released yesterday from Sabrina Speianu: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Mar 18, 2023 • Active inventory growth continued to climb with for-sale homes up 59% above one year ago. New listings–a measure of sellers putting homes up for sale–were again down, this week by 20% from one year ago.

Sales 356

Sales Numbers Marketing Marketing 356

Calculated Risk

FEBRUARY 23, 2023

Here is their weekly report released today from economist Jiayi Xu: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending Feb 18, 2023 • Active inventory growth continued to climb with for-sale homes up 67% above one year ago. Inventories of for-sale homes rose again, on par with the yearly gains we saw last week.

Sales 354

Sales Numbers Marketing Marketing 354

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 15, 2025

Consumer spending moved up moderately, with most Districts reporting strong holiday sales that exceeded expectations. Vehicle sales grew modestly. Manufacturing decreased slightly on net, and a number of Districts said manufacturers were stockpiling inventories in anticipation of higher tariffs.

Economics 162

Economics Manufacturing Nonprofit Transportation 162

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 1, 2022

Financial conditions are changing the balance of sellers and buyers in the housing market with more homes for-sale compared to one year ago. New listings–a measure of sellers putting homes up for sale–were again down, dropping 10% from one year ago. This is due to the slowdown in new listings, even as sales have fallen sharply.

Sales 358

Sales Numbers Marketing Marketing 358

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 3, 2022

New listings–a measure of sellers putting homes up for sale–were again down, dropping 13% from one year ago. This marks the seventeenth week of year over year declines in the number of new listings coming up for sale. This was due to the slowdown in new listings, even as sales had fallen sharply.

Sales 356

Sales Numbers Marketing Marketing 356