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Retail Lobby: “We Lied About Organized Theft”

The Big Picture

billion in retail inventory losses in 2021 was not “attributable to organized retail crime.” That line is just another in a long series of falsehoods put forth by the professional b *s at the National Retail Federation. This costs retailers anywhere between $15-20 billion annually in the US. No, “ nearly half ” of $94.5

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Grinch: Ignore Black Friday Retail Forecasts

The Big Picture

It’s Black Friday and you know what that means: Lots of promotional sales and lots of holiday retail spending forecasts. Holiday retail sales have averaged an increase of 4.9% The post Grinch: Ignore Black Friday Retail Forecasts appeared first on The Big Picture. billion and $960.4 Last year’s holiday sales grew 13.5%

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Retail as a Service

The Big Picture

I want to float a new concept to CRE owners: Retail as a Service (RaaS). Not just the upper floors that tenants rented, but the ground floor retail as well.2 A fully occupied office tower could be counted on to provide enough foot traffic to support a retail store, coffee shop or restaurant.

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Retail: October Seasonal Hiring vs. Holiday Retail Sales

Calculated Risk

Every year I track seasonal retail hiring for hints about holiday retail sales. At the bottom of this post is a graph showing the correlation between October seasonal hiring and holiday retail sales. Here is a graph of retail hiring for previous years based on the BLS employment report: Click on graph for larger image.

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Retail Sales Increased 0.6% in December

Calculated Risk

On a monthly basis, retail sales were up 0.6% retail and food services sales for December 2023, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $709.9 This graph shows retail sales since 1992. Retail sales ex-gasoline was up 0.7% percent from December 2022.

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Retail Sales Increased 0.7% in March

Calculated Risk

On a monthly basis, retail sales were up 0.7% retail and food services sales for March 2024, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $709.6 This graph shows retail sales since 1992. Retail sales ex-gasoline were up 0.6% percent from March 2023.

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Retail Sales Rebound in February

Advisor Perspectives

The Census Bureau's Advance Retail Sales Report for February revealed a 0.6% rebound in headline sales from January, the largest monthly rise in consumer spending since September. The latest increase, however, was lower than the anticipated 0.8% monthly growth.

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